School Improvement in Maryland

Sample Item
Selected Response Item for Grade 8

Standard 5.0 Knowledge of Probability

Topic C. Experimental Probability

Indicator 1. Analyze the results of a survey or simulation

Objective a. Make predictions and express the probability of the results as a fraction, a decimal with no more than 2 decimal places, or a percent

Assessment limit: Use 20 to 500 results

Alexandra conducted a survey of 50 candles made by several different workers at a candle factory. She determined that 4% of the candles had mistakes. Based on the results of Alexandra's survey, what prediction can she make about the next 500 candles made by these workers at the factory?

  1. 4 candles will have mistakes.
  2. 20 candles will have mistakes.
  3. 40 candles will have mistakes.
  4. 200 candles will have mistakes.

Correct Answer
B. 20 candles will have mistakes.
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